2010-07-19 3-2 Answer

Before you make any checker play, ask yourself, "What is my game plan?  How am I going to win this game?"

White has only one reasonable game plan...to play a back game, try to get a shot later, hit it, and hope to have a decent inner board when that happens.

Timing is the big problem with White's game, and the best chance to help that timing is to get hit.  That makes the right play fairly obvious.