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Chouette/Answer

As you can see below, it's not only not a double, it's a beaver.   Blue simply must wait.

The most interesting thing about this position to me is the numbers.  Blue is a 54 percent favorite, yet it's a beaver.  The reason one should beaver is if you get the cube and you are a favorite holding he cube.  But the numbers below show that blue is almost a 10 percent favorite. 

The answer is that blue is only a 10 percent favorite because he has access to the cube and has the ability to double if he rolls well.  If he gives up the cube, that wonderful weapon, he cannot end the game.  Conversely, when Red holds the cube, now he has the ability to end the game if he rolls well. 

This is a great example of the value of holding the cube and how it costs you in real winning percentages to give it up. 


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