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Quandray Answered

Red will probably get gammoned if he doesn't hit, and he may lose his market if he does.  (Losing his market means that if he waits to cube later, he might get dropped and therefore win only 2 points instead of 4.)   That's a strong incentive to Red to double here.

White doesn't like having to take this, but he might get missed (16 times out of 36), and even if he gets hit, he could still get lucky and win.

ExtremeGammon Evaluation: