Match Cube Answer

Blue is clearly in the lead here, but things could go very wrong for him, especially if he doesn't get that last checker out or Red's inner board.  Even if he does, it's likely that Red will get more shots.  But Blue must double anyway because it won't take much to lose his market....for example, escape that back checker and it's a clear drop for Red most of the time.  Note that the value of gammons goes down after the cube is turned, and that makes it easier for Red to take.