Match Cube/Answer

It's a double and a take.   Over the board, I had trouble seeing how this could be a take.  But look closely.  White's 5's both cover and come out, and what if White doesn't roll a 5 or 6 right away and Red comes in?  Red's simply got a lot of game here.  Even if White immediately covers his blot, Red has a few rolls to roll a 1 and get in this game. 

One thing I did to help see why Red has more game here is to play this position a few times and watch what happens.  Now I can see how Red has 30 percent here.