Stick Play 16/ Answer

A very interesting play that came up in a recent live match of mine v. fellow Giant Mike Corbett. 

He had this 44 to play and we were talking rather freely during the match.  He said aloud that he had narrowed it down to two plays and I said something along the lines of so had I.  After he made his play we decided to compare notes.  If I remember correctly we both agreed that 13/9(2) had to be part of the play, didn't take two Giants to figure that out.  After that portion of the play Mike really liked 24/16, what he played OtB.  Until he pointed it out I hadn't really considered the play which I should be slapped on the wrist for.

Upon seeing his play I could see the merit behind it.  It seems to have more freedom than the anchor making play as checkers are spread out covering the entire board and not seemingly 'trapped' behind a mini prime.  Still, I thought the key to this position was the cube and Mike would be cubing next turn in almost all scenarios so which play left the easiest cash?  I still admitted I wasn't good enough to play anything other than 20(2) 9(2).  If he makes that play can I take with anything other than double ones?  I don't think so.  However with his play I could envision many sequences where I could at least think about taking.  The first two that sprung to mind where 11 and 44.  That right there is enough to tell me Mike's play is wrong in my mind. 

If there are twice as many sequences where my opponent will have a take and no sequences either way where it will be too good then the equation is solved.  There may be other sequences that allow me to take too though I haven't looked into it like 41 or 42.

[By the way, Phil ran this at DMP and with the cube turned, and it's still best to make both points].   Evaluation below: